| |
| TABLE A.- A SUMMARY OF THE ASSUMPTIONS FOR THE THREE VARIANTS OF THE POPULATION'S PROJECTIONS |
|
| | | | | | | | | |
|
| population | Variant | Total fertility
(births per woman) | Migration balance
(thousands) | Life expectancy
(years) |
|---|
| Trend | First 5
year period
1996-2000 | Last 5
year period
2016-2020 | Trend | First 5
year period
1996-2000 | Last 5
year period
2016-2020 | Sex | First
5 year
period | Last
5 year
period |
|---|
|
| | | | | | | | | Identical assumptions |
| | | | | | | | | for the three variants |
| Jewish | High | Constant | 2.5 | 2.5 | Decrease | 190 | 45 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Males | 75.9 | 79.9 |
| | Medium | Decrease | 2.5 | 2.3 | Decrease | 166 | 36 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Females | 79.8 | 83.9 |
| | Low | Decrease | 2.5 | 2.0 | Decrease | 149 | 15 | | | |
| Moslem | High | Constant | 4.5 | 4.5 | - | - | - | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Males | 73.8 | 77.9 |
| | Medium | Decrease | 4.7 | 3.3 | - | - | - | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Females | 77.3 | 81.3 |
| | Low | Decrease | 4.7 | 2.0 | - | - | - | | | |
| Druze | High | Constant | 3.2 | 3.2 | - | - | - | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Males | 73.8 | 77.9 |
| | Medium | Decrease | 3.5 | 2.6 | - | - | - | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Females | 77.3 | 81.3 |
| | Low | Decrease | 3.5 | 2.0 | - | - | - | | | |
Arab
Christian | High | Constant | 2.4 | 2.4 | - | - | - | | | |
| | | | | | | | Males | 73.8 | 77.9 |
| | Medium | Decrease | 2.4 | 2.4 | - | - | - | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Females | 77.3 | 81.3 |
| | Low | Decrease | 2.4 | 2.0 | - | - | - | | | |
Other
Christian | High | Increase | 1.7 | 2.0 | Decrease | 3.3 | 0 | | | |
| | | | | | | | Males | 75.9 | 79.9 |
| | Medium | Constant | 2.1 | 2.1 | Decrease | 2.8 | 0 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Females | 79.8 | 83.9 |
| | Low | Constant | 2.1 | 2.1 | Decrease | 2.4 | 0 | | | |
Religion
unclassified | High | Increase | 1.7 | 2.2 | Decrease | 107 | 5 | | | |
| | | | | | | | Males | 75.9 | 79.9 |
| | Medium | Increase | 1.7 | 2.0 | Decrease | 91 | -1 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Females | 79.8 | 83.9 |
| | Low | Increase | 1.7 | 2.0 | Decrease | 99 | -10 | | | |
Immigrants
from USSR
(former) | High | Increase | 1.7 | 2.2 | Decrease | 280 | 15 | | | |
| | | | | | | | Males | 75.9 | 79.9 |
| Medium | Increase | 1.7 | 2.0 | Decrease | 240 | 0 | | | |
| | | | | | | | | Females | 79.8 | 83.9 |
| | Low | Increase | 1.7 | 2.0 | Decrease | 210 | -20 | | | |
Total
population
(average of
all the above) | High | Constant | 2.8 | 2.8 | Decrease | 300 | 50 | | | |
| | | | | | | | Males | 76.5 | 79.5 |
| Medium | Decrease | 2.8 | 2.6 | Decrease | 260 | 35 | | | |
| | | | | | | | Females | 80.3 | 83.4 |
| | Low | Decrease | 2.8 | 2.0 | Decrease | 230 | -25 | | | |
|
