21 May 2017
138/2017
Written by Aviad Klinger, Field Demographics


 

​ At the end of 2015, the population of Israel1 was 8.5 million residents. The population is expected to reach 10 million residents by the end of 2024, 15 million residents by the end of 2048, and by the end of the projection period, 2065, it is expected to reach 20 million residents.

 There are no significant changes expected in the composition of the general population regarding the division between Jews and Others2 and Arabs. The share of the Jews and Others population in 25 years (2040) is expected to remain similar to its share in 2015 (79%), as well as the share of the Arab population (21%). In 50 years (2065), the share of the Jews and Others population is expected to rise to 81%, while the share of the Arab population is expected to fall to 19%. 

 The proportion of the ultra-Orthodox population is expected to rise from 11% of the total population in Israel in 2015 to 20% in 2040 and 32% in 2065. Among the group of Jews and Others, the ultra-Orthodox population is expected to rise from 14% in 2015 to 24% 2040 and 40% in 2065.

  The composition of the population of children aged 0-14 is expected to change: In 2015, the share of Jews and Others in the population of children aged 0-14 was 75%, of which 19% were ultra-Orthodox. In 50 years, the proportion of Jews and Others will increase to 84% of the children's population, of which 49% will be ultra-Orthodox. The share of the Arab children who were 25% of those aged 0-14 in 2015 will fall to 15% in 50 years. 



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