01 April 2017

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This work is a continuation and update previous work done by the author (Hleihel 2011), which built a multi-year series of fertility rates of Jewish women in Israel according to the level of their religiosity in the years 1979-2009. The current work extends the data series in the years after 2009 and presents updated data on the fertility of Jewish women (including "others") by their religious level in 1979-2014. The current work uses social survey conducted by the Central Bureau of Statistics (CBS), which provides a large sample of Jewish women (and others) who was asked to report their level of religiosity. The full link of women to the population registry able to cover their births between the years 1979 to 2014 (by year of birth of each child, including children who have died), make it possible to measure a series of estimates of specific fertility rates by age and estimates of a total fertility rate by level of religiosity of women, using History Births Method.

The use of women who sampled in the social survey to estimates fertility rates in the years 1979 to 2014 by level of religiosity based on the assumption that religiosity level of women as observed in the survey does not change over time.

For Jewish women, we estimate a series of age specific fertility rates and estimates of total fertility rates in the year 1979 to 2014, by five groups of religiosity level as researched in the Social Survey: Haredi (Ultra-Orthodox) women, Religious women, Traditional-Religious women, Traditional Nor so Religious women and Not-Religious – Secular women. The results show that there is, as expected, a significant positive correlation between the level of religiosity of the woman and her fertility rate level. As more religious woman has a higher fertility rate.

This work has been added an additional data series refers to the Jewish and "others" [1] women together. This series was established by grouping "others" women with the group Non-religious / secular women and covers the period 1990-2014.

Establishing a series of "Jews and others" and presenting grouped data that were not in the previous work (as Jewish women excluding Haredi women) are due to the use of previous work and the needs of the users.

In the last part of the work is presented in an attempt to validate the estimates by comparing the estimates obtained directly from the use of social survey with the official data published by the Central Bureau of Statistics on the same years. This section also includes an analysis of the social survey nonresponse and its impact on the estimates of the survey.

Keywords: total fertility rate, Age specific fertility rates, level of religiosity, Haredi (Ultra- Orthodox), religious, secular, social survey, Central Bureau of Statistics, History Births Method, Jewish.


[1] "Others" are women whose religion was not classified or unknown or non-Arab Christian. This group can be considered only since 1990 mostly because of this population are immigrants or relatives of immigrants who emigrated from the FSU immigration wave of the nineties in the last century.



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